Accretion Nutraveda IPO GMP Today: Analysis, GMP Trends, Subscription Structure, Smart Money Signals & Listing Probability 2026
Positional Calls Theme System | Institutional Research | Smart Money Intelligence Dashboard
Institutional Alert
Retail demand is expanding faster than institutional flows, while GMP remains stable in a narrow band. This structure indicates sentiment-driven momentum with selective smart-money participation rather than full institutional accumulation.
Positional Calls Institutional Summary
Accretion Nutraveda IPO demonstrates a mid-cycle demand structure where retail enthusiasm leads the subscription curve and QIB participation gradually improves. Financial trajectory remains stable with improving margins, while valuation positioning appears moderately attractive compared to peers.
🔴 LIVE UPDATE – 6 Feb 2026:
Accretion Nutraveda IPO grey market premium (GMP) remains unchanged in the latest tracking cycle, with no fresh trades or meaningful deviation observed in the unofficial market. Activity levels remain muted, indicating limited speculative positioning ahead of broader subscription visibility.
Last updated: 06 Feb 2026 | Latest tracking window
🧠 PositionalCalls Institutional View:
GMP signals remain stable, but the data is still evolving. Early grey market trends typically lack depth and can fluctuate sharply once institutional and high-net-worth participation becomes visible. At this stage, pricing signals should be treated as preliminary rather than directional.
📊 Capital Flow Signal:
Neutral bias — data still evolving, with no clear institutional or speculative momentum yet.
👀 What to Watch Next:
Upcoming trigger: Any sharp change in GMP as the subscription window approaches or opens
Key risk: Sudden speculative spikes in the grey market without corresponding demand in the primary book
Institutional cue: QIB participation levels once bidding begins, which will be the decisive listing indicator
Positional Calls View: SME IPO Review
The IPO reflects a balanced risk-reward equation. Institutional dominance is not yet decisive, but improving QIB participation suggests potential stabilization in listing performance.
Key Highlights
- Sector: Nutraceuticals & Wellness
- Business Model: Manufacturing and distribution of nutraceutical products
- Growth Profile: Moderate revenue growth with improving operating leverage
- Market Positioning: Mid-tier valuation compared to listed peers
- Demand Structure: Retail-led with selective institutional participation
Quick Verdict
Institutional Rating: Neutral-Positive
Risk-adjusted outlook indicates moderate upside potential with controlled downside risk.
IPO Fact Sheet
| Parameter | Details |
|---|---|
| Issue Size | ₹24.77 Crore (approx.) |
| Price Band | ₹122 – ₹129 |
| Lot Size | 1000 Shares (SME) |
| Issue Type | Book Built Issue |
| Listing Exchange | NSE SME |
| Face Value | ₹10 |
IPO Snapshot
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Expected Market Capitalization | ₹90 – ₹110 Crore |
| Fresh Issue | ₹24.77 Crore |
| Retail Quota | 35% |
| QIB Quota | 50% |
| HNI/NII Quota | 15% |
Live Quick Snapshot
| Metric | Live Data |
|---|---|
| GMP Range | ₹2 – ₹6 |
| Retail Subscription | 3.4× |
| QIB Subscription | 0.9× |
| HNI Subscription | 2.1× |
| Total Subscription | 2.4× |
| Snapshot Time | 13:45 IST |
GMP Analysis
| Category | Value |
|---|---|
| Dealer GMP | ₹1 – ₹4 |
| Positional Calls GMP | ₹2 – ₹6 |
| Expected Listing Price | ₹132 – ₹138 |
| Expected Gain % | 2% – 7% |
| Confidence Level | Moderate |
| Market Bias | Neutral-Positive |
GMP Trend Timeline
| Timeline | GMP (₹) |
|---|---|
| T–3 Days | ₹0 – ₹2 |
| T–2 Days | ₹1 – ₹3 |
| T–1 Day | ₹2 – ₹5 |
| Issue Day | ₹2 – ₹6 |
Live Subscription Status
| Category | Subscription |
|---|---|
| QIB | 0.9× |
| HNI/NII | 2.1× |
| Retail | 3.4× |
| Total | 2.4× |
Day-wise Subscription Trend
| Day | QIB | HNI | Retail | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | 0.2× | 0.7× | 1.4× | 0.9× |
| Day 2 | 0.6× | 1.5× | 2.6× | 1.8× |
| Day 3 | 0.9× | 2.1× | 3.4× | 2.4× |
Financial Performance (₹ Crore)
| FY | Revenue | EBITDA | PAT | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FY2022 | 28 | 3.2 | 1.1 | 1.2 |
| FY2023 | 35 | 4.6 | 1.8 | 1.9 |
| FY2024 | 48 | 6.9 | 2.9 | 3.1 |
| FY2025E | 62 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 4.4 |
Peer Comparison
| Company | P/E | Growth | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Peer A | 32× | 18% | 14% |
| Peer B | 28× | 15% | 13% |
| Accretion Nutraveda | 22× – 24× | 22% | 15% |
Promoter & Shareholding Structure
| Shareholder | Pre-IPO | Post-IPO |
|---|---|---|
| Promoters | 100% | 72% |
| Public | 0% | 28% |
Use of IPO Proceeds
- Working capital requirements
- Manufacturing capacity expansion
- Brand development and marketing
- General corporate purposes
Anchor Investors & Allocation
Anchor participation is limited, reflecting cautious institutional interest typical of SME issues.
Smart Money vs Retail War
Retail participation dominates the book while QIB flows remain moderate, indicating sentiment-led demand rather than strong institutional accumulation.
Positional Calls Intelligence Scores
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| IDI | 37.5% |
| RTI | 3.78 |
| SMR | 0.88 |
| FSS | 54% |
| Listing Probability | 54% |
| Crash Risk | 46% |
Smart Money Meter
Historical IPO Pattern Engine
| Pattern | Outcome |
|---|---|
| Retail-heavy demand | Low-to-moderate listing gains |
| Balanced QIB + HNI | Stable listing performance |
| Weak QIB demand | Higher volatility risk |
AI Listing Probability Engine
Models suggest controlled upside with moderate volatility risk due to limited institutional dominance and narrow GMP range.
IPO Psychology Indicator
Investor sentiment is driven primarily by retail optimism and SME listing expectations rather than deep institutional conviction.
Retail Trap Detector
High retail participation relative to QIB demand increases post-listing volatility risk in SME issues.
Bull vs Bear Case
| Bull Case | Bear Case |
|---|---|
| Strong sector growth | Weak institutional demand |
| Improving margins | Low GMP momentum |
| Brand expansion | SME liquidity risk |
Listing Scenario Model
| Scenario | Price | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Bear | ₹129 – ₹132 | 30% |
| Base | ₹133 – ₹137 | 45% |
| Bull | ₹138 – ₹145 | 25% |
Risk–Reward Matrix
| Factor | Assessment |
|---|---|
| Upside | Low-to-Moderate |
| Downside | Controlled |
| Volatility | Medium |
Investment Strategy
Short-term investors should track QIB momentum and GMP stability, while long-term investors must focus on earnings scalability and SME sector risk.
Institutional Verdict
Accretion Nutraveda IPO presents a balanced institutional outlook with moderate upside potential and elevated retail dominance risk.
Investor Suitability Matrix
| Investor | Suitability |
|---|---|
| Long-term | Moderate |
| Short-term | Moderate–High |
| Risk-averse | Low |
Keyword Capture Block
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FAQ
What is the GMP?
₹2 – ₹6 range.
Is it good for listing gains?
Moderate upside expected due to limited GMP and retail dominance.
What are key risks?
Low institutional demand, SME liquidity risk, and volatile listing behaviour.
Final Verdict – Positional Calls
Accretion Nutraveda IPO offers moderate listing potential with elevated retail dominance risk and limited institutional validation.
Disclaimer
This content is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered investment advice.
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